NHL Prospect

NHL Entry Draft and Development Record (1997 - 2006)

Prospect Insider - Shane Malloy

When looking at the drafting and developing record of an NHL organization it becomes an interesting blend of statistics, circumstances with some luck thrown in for good measure. Most of the time the General Manager receives the praise for a teams fortunes at the draft table when it should go to the hockey operations staff. For the most part there are three aspects that make the whole scouting and developing process work. The first aspect is the amateur scouting department's ability to evaluate and project talent, which may be the most challenging of all. Next the organizations player development department must try to mold the prospects by giving the players tools to strengthen his talents. Perhaps most importantly is the prospects responsibility to pay the price and sacrifice, which requires a tremendous work ethic. If any one of these aspects fails then the likelihood of a prospect having a long NHL career becomes remote. 

The reason for the analyzing the years from 1997 to 2006 is to first give each NHL organization five years to develop their prospects. Since players from different leagues evolve differently and the road to professional is a daunting task the develop time is needed. Secondly the players that should be the building blocks of the core of your team will be in the 23-32 year old age range. What makes each organization unique is how they manage their assets, as management will often trade draft choices for immediate help on their NHL teams. Now some players may be real late bloomers and eventually make the criteria set in this analysis down the road. Even at this stage of their development it is fascinating to see the results.

Now this evaluation does not include how prominent a player is currently as the value between a first line forward and a fourth line forward is vast. Since the value of player can be subjective based on the talent evaluator it made sense to make this study more standardized. The basis of this study is to determine if the draft pick was an asset to the organization that chose them. The entire purpose of scouting and drafting is to acquire assets for the organization.


Criteria of NHL games played of a player that has been drafted and developed successfully.

Forwards - Defenseman                                                       Goaltenders

1997-2004 - 125-200 NHL Games required                        51-100 NHL Games Played

2005-2006 - 80 NHL Games required                                25-50 NHL Games Played

Pending Player (#) - Represents the number of players that have a legitimate chance to make the criteria.

 

National Hockey League - Top 30

1. Buffalo - 10yrs - 91 draft picks - 28 NHL Players = 30.7% success rate (1)

2. Boston - 10yrs - 85 draft picks - 26 NHL Players = 30.5% success rate (1)

3. Ottawa - 10yrs - 92 draft picks - 26 NHL Players = 28.2% success rate (2)

4. Pittsburgh - 10yrs - 95 draft picks - 27 NHL Players = 28.4% success rate

5. Colorado - 10yrs - 96 draft picks - 27 NHL Players = 28.1% success rate (1)

6. San Jose - 10yrs - 78 draft picks - 21 NHL Players = 27.0% success rate (3)

7. Montreal - 10yrs - 90 draft picks - 24 NHL Players = 26.6% success rate (2)

8. Anaheim - 10yrs - 74 draft picks - 19 NHL Players = 25.6% success rate

9. Nashville - 9yrs - 88 draft picks - 20 NHL Players = 24.0% success rate (3)

10. NY Rangers -10yrs - 100 draft picks - 23 NHL Players = 23.0% success rate (1)

11. Columbus - 7yrs - 74 draft picks - 17 NHL Players = 22.9% success rate (3)

12. Minnesota - 7yrs - 61 draft picks - 14 NHL Players = 22.9% success rate (1)

13. Chicago - 10yrs - 110 draft picks - 25 NHL Players = 22.7% success rate

14. Toronto - 10yrs - 84 draft picks - 19 NHL Players = 22.6% success rate (1)

15. Dallas - 10yrs - 91 draft picks - 20 NHL Players = 21.9% success rate

16. Los Angles - 10yrs - 97 draft picks - 21 NHL Players = 21.6% success rate (1)

17. Washington - 10yrs - 92 draft picks - 19 NHL Players = 20.6% success rate (1)

18. Florida - 10yrs - 92 draft picks - 19 NHL Players = 20.6% success rate (1)

19. NY Islanders - 10yrs - 97 draft picks - 20 NHL Players = 20.6 % success rate (1)

20. Vancouver - 10yrs - 84 draft picks - 17 NHL Players = 20.2% success rate

21. Detroit - 10yrs - 85 draft picks - 17 NHL Players = 20.0% success rate (2)

22. Carolina - 10yrs - 80 draft picks - 16 NHL Players = 20.0% success rate (2)

23. Philadelphia - 10yrs - 89 draft picks - 17 NHL Players = 19.1% success rate (1)

24. Edmonton - 10yrs - 98 draft picks - 18 NHL Players = 18.3% success rate (6)

25. St. Louis - 10yrs - 89 draft picks - 15 NHL Players = 16.8 % success rate (3)

26. Atlanta - 8 yrs -78 draft picks - 13-NHL Players = 16.6% success rate (1)

27. Calgary - 10yrs - 99 draft picks - 16 NHL Players = 16.1% success rate

28. Tampa Bay - 10yrs - 102 draft picks - 16 NHL Players = 15.6% success rate (2)

29. New Jersey - 10yrs - 91 draft picks - 14 NHL Players = 15.3% success rate (6)

30. Phoenix - 10yrs - 86 draft picks - 13 NHL Players = 15.1% success rate (1)

Twitter


www.rampinteractive.com